The second pandemic year is going to get even harder


Russia is on the verge of the third wave

World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that the year ahead might be much worse than the last year. Expected deaths may significantly overtake deaths that took place in the first year of the pandemic. To fight against the spread of the pandemic, high vaccination coverage and the application of public health care measures are required. According to the Director-General of WHO, the lifting of restrictions should depend not only on the number of vaccinated people but also on the incidence rate.

Head of the Laboratory of Biotechnology and Virology at the Faculty of Natural Sciences of Novosibirsk State University, Doctor of Biological Sciences, Professor, Corresponding Member of the Russian Academy of Sciences Sergey Netesov, in turn, stated that the third wave of the coronavirus pandemic has already begun in Russia. Over the past day, the number of cases increased by 13% to an estimated 9462 individuals, which exceeded the incidence rate of the last month.

The situation with the spread of infection remains quite complex throughout the world, including Russia. At the same time, in many developed countries, vaccination is proceeding at a rapid pace: in Germany, for example, about 10% of the population is fully vaccinated, in the USA – 35%. In Russia, there are about 6% of them. At the same time, very few people in poor countries received the vaccine – we are talking only about a fraction of a percent of the total population. Thus, there are serious grounds to believe that the increase in mortality will largely be due to these countries. It is also obvious that the least number of vaccinations is given in countries with poorly developed medicine. One of the few exceptions here is, perhaps, Vietnam, where, thanks to the adopted Soviet health care system, it was possible to prevent the development of the epidemic, so that only 35 people died there from coronavirus all the time.

Another important conclusion follows from the information on the number of vaccinated people: the situation in Russia is not that great as it is presented in the national media, especially when compared with developed countries. And the point here is not that people don’t want to be vaccinated. The point is precisely in the organization of the health care system, the work of the authorities, and the people’s trust in the authorities. The health care system is semi-conscious after having been streamlined, and that didn’t give the authorities an idea to start fixing problems even after a year of the pandemic. The authorities, implementing a policy of ruining a broad sector of society, each time they assured people that all measures are taken for their own benefit. As a result, the credibility has been completely destroyed, and now even scientifically based statements about the benefits and safety of the coronavirus vaccine are taken with a grain of salt.